Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
https://indi.ca/ramadan-war-8-9-its-all-downhill-from-here-inshallah/
A break down of the overall picture for days 8-9. Its closer to poetry than analysis.
🇮🇱🇺🇸 Israel has told the United States it is critically low on missile interceptors, with Iran’s use of cluster munitions accelerating the depletion, according to U.S. officials cited by Semafor.
2 weeks in.
Source -> https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/177682
Does Israel gain or lose from rising oil prices? Genuinely have no clue what their logistics supply chain is so :p
Net neutral. Though it imports its energy, its backer, the US is a net exporter and it will offset Israeli losses.
As far as I can recall, Israel is not the one footing the bill but the whole West. Israel’s existence depends on the West support.
With that context, a better question will be if the West can sustain themselves with oil prices over $120+ USD.
Israel is not a petrol state AFAIK, relying on imports for 99% of its consumption.
Israel’s not even a state, dude
🇮🇷🇺🇸🇹🇷| Turkey announced an Iranian ballistic missile was intercepted in Turkish airspace by NATO systems in the eastern Mediterranean.
@FotrosResistancee
I really hope if nothing else this war teaches countries that hosting a US Military base is not a risk free endevor no matter what the US says
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇹🇷| The US used one of its expensive SM-3 interceptors to down the Iranian ballistic missile heading towards its base inside Turkey.
This base is crucial and one of the most difficult (geopolitically) for Iran. This base has one of the remaining AN/TPY-2 radars.
@FotrosResistancee
This was just a test. They’ll get it.
So if it required 500000+ American troops to invade Iraq given all the advantages they had, would it even be possible to start an invasion of Iran with 1 million+? Even getting into the gulf is difficult rn and theyd probably have to call up every reservist they have to start it. But…I mean, you never know with this admin
A million men wouldn’t be nearly enough. Iran had around a million men in their army before the war. The Sâzmân-e Basij-e Mostaz’afin is a 25 million strong paramilitary organization with another 600k men ready for deployment. Who knows how many men they could have in the time it took usa to organize a million men and logistic support.
The country is like a natural fortress and Iran would be fighting like Hezbollah does. Ambushes and small unit tactics with drone and short range missile strikes that usa has next to no experience against. They wouldn’t get past the welcome mat.
Plus those troops would be having an actual will to fight unlike the American ones and I doubt the American troops happen to have any eagerness for martyrdom. Besides, Iran would definitely have an even bigger fighting force considering Shia Muslims (and even some Sunni Muslims) from Pakistan and Afghanistan might sneak in to fight beside Iranians. Same for the Iraqis.
❗️ Updates on Lebanon:
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Lebanese Gov announced its ready to talk with Israel directly under any format outside Lebanon
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Lebanon’s PM and President are furious about the Lebanese army statement about the countering of the Israeli raid in Nabi Cheet in the presence of “local armed support”
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Lebanese state, while hesitant to replace the army commander", is already discussing other names
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France’s Macron called Netanyahu about Lebanon. Israel didn’t say what it intends to do nor showed any promises. They are busy in Iran and only inflicting damage on Lebanon so far.
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Almost ALL Lebanese political parties are rallying against Hezbullah.
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PM Nawaf will meet the commander of the Lebanese army soon, to implement the decree to outlaw Hezbullah’s military and security apparatus.
Nawaf is expected to rebuke Haykel over the army’s statement and actions
Call me an accelerationist but I want the Lebanese “government” to keep pushing this line of thinking.
Lol the army has the opportunity to do something very funny. The goverment gonna find out who really has political power.
Political power grows out of the tip of a wagging finger
- Chuck Schumer
I have a question, why does the Lebanese government happens to have such a hate honer against Hezbollah when it’s like the only thing protecting them from becoming part of Greater Israel? Like seriously, why is it? And do all Lebanese officials and military officials share it or are there allies of Hezbollah too that actually love their country’s freedom
Sadly, I don’t know the detailed answer. However, it helps to see the Lebanese gov’t as a neocolonial gov’t that follows the interests of the US and Israel. That’s the only explanation that I have because they are willing to disarm the resistance while never asking Israel to disarm or even to maintain the ceasefire(Israel has violated the ceasefire so many times and even attacked the UN army).
Fucking cowards
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🇮🇷| Iran’s IRGC Navy says it carried out an offensive operation against American terrorists, striking the “Al-Udayri Helicopter Base” (Camp Buehring) in Kuwait with various drones and cruise missiles.
The announcement says this highly significant operation, foiled operational plans, and eyewitnesses and informed sources reported a panicked evacuation from the base.
In this attack, 11 highly important targets at the base were hit by several missiles and drones.
Among the destroyed targets were the base’s fuel tanks, gas tanks, the American helicopters’ ramp, logistics and support facilities, and the base’s infrastructure installations.
@FotrosResistancee
🇺🇸🇸🇦🇮🇷| It appears that the US is evacuating its Air Force tankers from its Saudi Arabia base.
These tankers had been supporting bombing operations in Iran, and now they have been evacuated to Europe, out of Prince Sultan Airbase.
The evacuation comes after intense attacks on the base last night.
@FotrosResistancee
A missile destroyed Israel’s SES Satellite Station Ha’Ela Valley, just south of Beit Shemesh.
@FotrosResistancee
Video in https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/19592
The pic before it got destroyed
LOL, the US through Lindsey Graham just threatened the Saudi regime. 😂
I can’t stop laughing every time they put “the Kingdom” and followed up by “the Iranian regime”.
Like any defense agreement is for Saudi benefit and not the US’s
“Capable” and “Saudi military” should never be put together by a serious person
If the Gulf monarchies began expanding and empowering their militaries they would be couped in a heartbeat. A national army of citizens would depose them for being the traitors to their own people that they are.
🇺🇦🇺🇸 Now, with the US war on Iran, Daddy has no time for Ukraine.
Honestly I just want the front to collapse already. I’m so sick of this guy, the conflict, all of it. Honestly I’m surprised Putin hasn’t pulled a trump and tried just blowing up/kidnapping Zelensky. Maybe that’d work
Ain’t like Ukraine hasn’t repeatedly tried a decapitation strike either.
If anything i think what we have seen vindicates Putin’s decision to not go there. Decapitation strikes don’t work out the way you think they will. Besides, Zelensky is incredibly unpopular and incredibly incompetent.
🇮🇷| Iran’s IRGC Aeroforce Commander:
“From now on, no missile with a warhead lighter than 1 ton will be launched (against Israel).
The frequency of launches, their intensity, and the scope of operations will increase significantly.”
@FotrosResistancee
In the previous megathread, someone posted about unrest in Bahrain, and the monarch supposedly fleeing the country.
Does anyone have more information on that? I don’t think the monarch fleeing thing was correct, but I’ve heard Whispers of the Shia population being very displeased with their sunni monarch playing along with the US.
For now and as far as I checked, there are no official channels from either side that have spoken about it.
If I get confirmation, I will share it here.
Thank you o7
Let’s hope we get Islamic Revolution 2.0 in Bahrain
