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Cake day: October 12th, 2023

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  • Spain are a good side and might make the semis, but they’re not one of the favourites. The main favourite is obviously France. They’ve been the best european team for almost the last 8 years. England are close behind them and their results in the last 5 years have showed that. Portugal are also looking strong but they haven’t done anything of note in the last 5yrs, I don’t think they have the experience to win it next year.

    Here are some other decent teams that I don’t consider serious contenders. Croatia, Belgium, Netherlands and Germany. Croatia did well at the world cup but they’re a bit old and don’t do well at the euros. Belgium are in decline from their golden generation’s peak in 2018, still a good side obviously but their best chance at winning the euros was 2021 when they made the QF but France didn’t. Belgium had a good shot at 2016 but they blew it to Wales, their window has passed. The Netherlands haven’t really made any progress in the last few years even with all their young talent, a QF loss expected unless they have an easy draw. Germany are in a rut but they’re the hosts so they could be a surprise and make a run, maybe even to the semis if the draw is lucky to them.