I’m interested in developing the skill to estimate probabilities for real-world situations. What are the best ways to learn this systematically? Are there books, courses, or exercises that teach probabilistic thinking, Bayesian reasoning, or practical forecasting skills?
I want to check this math and see if the AI is gaslighting me.


it can also be INcorrect most of the time!!
ANY mind “educated” by ingesting the internet … isn’t going to be high on accuracy!!
People NEED to understand that getting parts of reddit out of LLM’s proves its untrustworthiness!!
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The internet is way bigger than social media sites, FYI
I’ve no idea what what you’re trying to say with this