• 12 Posts
  • 8 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Exactly, lets assume shorts would be margin called and must buy at any price (which surprisingly didn’t happen in Jan 2021 if you recall the SEC report). But will there be a seller for any price? In short, I don’t think so. Do you?

    Honestly, I am not sure how MOASS will really look like. And of course any hedgie would tell you how it looks like, like with the Sneeze being the Squeeze in Jan 2021. Haha, there was a like 30 slide set in like 20 versions claiming in a later version that FTDs would be unwound no matter what, just remember reading this and nearly crying how hard hedgies tried but how dumb they thought us to be (it was promoted by rensole at the time and called “The FTD Squeeze theory and the coiling spring”). So the psychological part will certainly play a huge role here (“SELL NOW, [INSERT COMPELLING REASON HERE]!”).

    This is why I always found concepts like buy, hold, DRS and the infinity pool very easy and compelling. I don’t fully agree with no cell no sell, because its system change not single scape goats in prison I want. But I like the message it sends.

    Lets theorize:

    • the amount of naked shorts gets larger every day (see short % of daily volume)
    • to make naked shorts = 0 they need to either bankrupt the company or a lot of people sell so we get back to shares owned = shares outstanding
    • you can 10x or 100x the stock price and people would rather buy than sell… WHAT???
    • in a MOASS scenario price rises which leads to FOMO - THIS IS WELL TESTED! (see also the Sneeze which was nearly pure buy volume (https://www.sec.gov/files/staff-report-equity-options-market-struction-conditions-early-2021.pdf , p. 28)
    • with the knowledge about DRS and infinity pool with a rising price, every DRSed share becomes more valuable. Its like bringing money to a bank with a niiiceee %age. For every seller there will (or might) be a buyer beside the one trying to cover the naked short.
    • Ultimately, the price becomes infinity, no matter how much volume is traded. Perfect price elasticity.

    DRSd shares could become like the Mona Lisa. There is just one (real share for each outstanding). There are estimates, but ultimately its Priceless. PED = ∞ at P = ∞.

    This is a nice theory. Becoming true, it could brake the financial market.

    Or to just put it another way round, this is real infinite loss expressed, which before were just words.