politics @lemmy.worldEnglish · 11 months ago

How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

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How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

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spaceghoti@lemmy.one to

politics @lemmy.worldEnglish · 11 months ago

185

Presiding over an unhappy nation makes reelection hard for any president. But running against Trump makes it easier for Biden.

Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

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knightly the Sneptaur@pawb.social
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11 months ago
“Now specifically”? This has been my political messaging strategy since I reached voting age. Feel free to continue lambasting folks for wanting the party to suck less, that seems really effective too. XD

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