Analysts say the removal of China’s foreign and defense ministers appears to enforce leader Xi Jinping’s demand for total obedience and the elimination of any potential rivals within the ruling Communist Party.
I think the implosion of Russia and China will pave a new wave of democracy around the world.
Under good conditions, autocracy can outperform democracy.
But eventually you get in a rough patch of the road. Democracies can just throw out and replace their leaders without power struggles or violence. And they can rinse and repeat until the right leadership is found.
Meanwhile, autocracies are stuck with the leadership they have. And if that leadership is failing, they can’t change leadership without a high cost (civil war or violent revolution).
So the failing leaders hang on and fail even harder, for years or decades. And the country remains stuck and falls behind the rest of the world.
I think we are in for a shit sandwich. Not a flourishing of democracy, but a general failure of the non American system and a great shrinking of the American system from global to “friends we like and protect”.
Democracies will shine above the rest. But I don’t see a great push for them in the wider world, especially with America so disillusioned with the idea of spreading democracy as a concept.
It also doesn’t help that one of our major political parties here in the US openly doesn’t like the concept of democracy and is working to subvert it here.
A shit show is in the near future for sure.
Hopefully a flourishing of democracy is in the cards but that’s going to be a tough sell for people who haven’t had one.
Worked out really well for Russia too, as we can see in the current war.
I think the implosion of Russia and China will pave a new wave of democracy around the world.
Under good conditions, autocracy can outperform democracy.
But eventually you get in a rough patch of the road. Democracies can just throw out and replace their leaders without power struggles or violence. And they can rinse and repeat until the right leadership is found.
Meanwhile, autocracies are stuck with the leadership they have. And if that leadership is failing, they can’t change leadership without a high cost (civil war or violent revolution).
So the failing leaders hang on and fail even harder, for years or decades. And the country remains stuck and falls behind the rest of the world.
I think we are in for a shit sandwich. Not a flourishing of democracy, but a general failure of the non American system and a great shrinking of the American system from global to “friends we like and protect”.
Democracies will shine above the rest. But I don’t see a great push for them in the wider world, especially with America so disillusioned with the idea of spreading democracy as a concept.
It also doesn’t help that one of our major political parties here in the US openly doesn’t like the concept of democracy and is working to subvert it here.
A shit show is in the near future for sure.
Hopefully a flourishing of democracy is in the cards but that’s going to be a tough sell for people who haven’t had one.