Considering how they started it, Roma are actually doing alright.
It’s funny given how much Mourinho has talked about not liking stats, but the xG showed Roma was a good team even when they started bad—they were just REALLY unlucky in the first few games
they were just REALLY unlucky in the first few games
If the ball hits the post instead of finding the net, if a cross is just an inch too high, if the keeper got his fingertips to the ball but couldn’t prevent conceding, that’s all got to do with skill issue.
Honestly, the only thing that’s unlucky in football are deflections imo
If the ball hits the post instead of finding the net, if a cross is just an inch too high, if the keeper got his fingertips to the ball but couldn’t prevent conceding, that’s all got to do with skill issue.
The sample size is WAY too small to determine that it’s “skill” rather than luck
There’s a reason why those kinds of huge xG vs G disparities usually regress to the mean over the long-term
Haven’t Roma been the perennial xG under performers from all of Mourinho’s 3 seasons? IIRC, they are amongst the top underperformers. Even with Lukaku in for Tammy, this issue seems to be a pattern with the team.
Haven’t Roma been the perennial xG under performers from all of Mourinho’s 3 seasons?
They were in their first 2 seasons. Last season it was largely Tammy, Pellegrini, Belotti, and Zaniolo underperforming by a huge margin. The season before it was largely Tammy, Zaniolo, and Mancini
This season they’re actually over-performing on offense (19G + 1 own goal scored on 14.1 xg; getting rid of Tammy and Zaniolo and having Lukaku + Dybala being fit so far has been a big upgrade there).
They just had a few unlucky games early before that corrected recently + they’re underperforming massively on defense—a large part of that is Rui Patricio having a historically bad season TBH
Considering how they started it, Roma are actually doing alright. A goalscorer like Lukaku did contribute a lot.
Roma have only played one team in the current top 10 though (a loss against Milan), they’ve got a brutal run coming up later
It’s funny given how much Mourinho has talked about not liking stats, but the xG showed Roma was a good team even when they started bad—they were just REALLY unlucky in the first few games
If the ball hits the post instead of finding the net, if a cross is just an inch too high, if the keeper got his fingertips to the ball but couldn’t prevent conceding, that’s all got to do with skill issue.
Honestly, the only thing that’s unlucky in football are deflections imo
The sample size is WAY too small to determine that it’s “skill” rather than luck
There’s a reason why those kinds of huge xG vs G disparities usually regress to the mean over the long-term
Haven’t Roma been the perennial xG under performers from all of Mourinho’s 3 seasons? IIRC, they are amongst the top underperformers. Even with Lukaku in for Tammy, this issue seems to be a pattern with the team.
They were in their first 2 seasons. Last season it was largely Tammy, Pellegrini, Belotti, and Zaniolo underperforming by a huge margin. The season before it was largely Tammy, Zaniolo, and Mancini
This season they’re actually over-performing on offense (19G + 1 own goal scored on 14.1 xg; getting rid of Tammy and Zaniolo and having Lukaku + Dybala being fit so far has been a big upgrade there).
They just had a few unlucky games early before that corrected recently + they’re underperforming massively on defense—a large part of that is Rui Patricio having a historically bad season TBH