• hoshikarakitaridia@lemmy.world
      13·
      2 months ago

      I think it slows down the lower it gets, because the less supporters there are, the more loyal they have to be to stick to the president in the first place.

    • Obi@sopuli.xyz
      5·
      2 months ago

      Yeah, meanwhile French presidents are regularly under 20% approval ratings and that’s like, normal.

  • Cypress@lemmy.zipEnglish
    8·
    2 months ago

    I for one do not know how to do the following, but if anyone who finds this post happens to know how:

    i do hope that diligence has been done to ensure these are ACTUAL POLL RESULTS and not just incompetent moronic consulting firms asking generative pretrained transformer large language model hallucination-bots to shit out possible results for them and claim it’s a “simulation” of how they THINK poll respondents would indicate.

    • neidu3@sh.itjust.worksEnglish
      10·
      2 months ago

      It’s from Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight fame. It’s an aggregate of several polls, each of which are given a weight based on accuracy in the past, as well as a correction based on polling method that could skew the result slightly.

      Note that these polls do not correspond to 38% of likely voters, as presidential approval tracking asks a much wider segment of the pipularion population beyond likely voters. But yeah, diligence has been done, as accurate as is possible when it comes to polls. I recommend checking out the link; The methodology is explained there better than I could ever do in a two paragraph comment.