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Cake day: June 4th, 2025

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  • Russia still outproduces all of NATO in artillery shells, tanks, etc.

    One of the reasons they’re producing so many tanks is the high attrition rate of tanks in the face of Ukrainian resistance.

    Similarly, counting artillery shells is a crude measure of how effective their use has been. Blowing holes in the ground where the enemy isn’t is just burning money.

    most European countries only have enough stocks to survive an Ukraine style war on their own for a few months without help

    With the qualitative advantages of European materiel over those of Russia, especially fighter planes, how likely is a protracted war? And what would happen to Russia’s productive capacity in those first few months? It’s likely that those factories are very near the top of target lists, right after command and control centers and mobile air defense installations.



  • The targeted 2% that the EU is spending on defense is about EU441 billion, which is roughly 1/7 the size or the total Russian economy.

    And if the shit hits the fan, the EU has massive headroom to increase that spending. Russia is already nearly maxed out in productive capacity and spending, even without considering its ability to keep bringing in more young men as drone fodder.

    That said, EU governments’ intelligence agencies should be working full-time to remove quislings like Orban and Fico. We’re rapidly reaching the point where fifth columnists should be correctly identified as enemy combatants and not part of normal political discourse.